{"id":251287,"date":"2025-04-14T20:26:39","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T18:26:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/socius.de\/?p=251287"},"modified":"2026-06-03T12:16:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T10:16:17","slug":"confidence-in-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/socius.de\/en\/socius-brief\/zukunftszuversicht\/","title":{"rendered":"4\/25 Confidence in the future"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"et_pb_section_0 et_pb_section et_section_regular et_block_section\"><div class=\"et_pb_row_0 et_pb_row et_block_row\"><div class=\"et_pb_column_0 et_pb_column et_pb_column_4_4 et-last-child et_block_column et_pb_css_mix_blend_mode_passthrough\"><div class=\"et_pb_text_0 et_pb_text et_pb_bg_layout_light et_pb_module et_block_module\"><div class=\"et_pb_text_inner\"><h2><b>Dear readers,<\/b><\/h2>\n<p>I recently took part in a seminar on <i>Critical Whiteness.<\/i> Right at the start of the seminar, the seminar leaders reminded us that we cannot afford to be discouraged or complain about the current state of the world. What unfolded over the three days was a moving experience of what it takes to counter darkness and powerlessness: lived vulnerability, trust in relationships \u2013 and <b>radical confidence.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>We need to keep an eye out for the resilient, the bright, the encouraging \u2013 especially when it's overshadowed by the constant noise of doom and gloom. Because the attention economy favours the spectacular, the catastrophic \u2013 and we're getting used to it. So much so that we almost overlook the hopeful.<\/p>\n<p>However: <b>Confidence makes people good. And cheerful.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>When we lose hope in the future, we lose ourselves. Only as hopeful, joyful beings can we grow, act and shape our lives. And so confidence can also have a political dimension: not allowing ourselves to slip into despondency and simply observing the status quo, but remaining capable of action. Hartmut Rosa also argues in his resonance theory that actively engaging with the world is a prerequisite for confidence.<\/p>\n<p>What does it take? I would say experiencing one's own effectiveness and connectedness with others. At the same time, there also need to be clearly recognisable signs of counter-movements and counter-proposals to the often discouraging mainstream.<\/p>\n<p>In their book \u201e15 Countertrends \u2013 How the Future Changes Direction\u201c, published in 2024, futurologists Tristan and Matthias Horx clearly show that there is a countertrend to every megatrend. Counter-movements as systemic patterns. Counter-trends reveal the deeper layers of society, where over-maturity, saturation and exhaustion arise and send out signals. They rebel against the trend of \u201ealways more\u201c \u2013 and open up new possibilities for new directions.<\/p>\n<p>In emotionally stressful situations, it is necessary to actively work against fears, doubts or feelings of powerlessness. Regulating emotions takes strength and energy. Confidence is therefore also work. But particularly exciting here are findings from neuroscience, which show that optimism is by no means innate, but is associated with the activation of certain systems in the brain, which in turn can be trained, e.g. through social interaction or consciously imagining positive futures.<\/p>\n<p>And recently, on a talk show, I heard the phrase, \u201eConfidence develops when we are close to the ground. When we feel secure again somewhere beneath us.\u201c We want to help prepare such ground with our small and large events, which enable reflection and resonance, while at the same time providing the presence and support of a caring community.<\/p>\n<p>This is what we want to achieve at this year's <a href=\"http:\/\/www.oe-tag.de\/\"><b>oe-tag on 13 June in Halle <\/b><\/a>to search for traces of Eastern or Western influences in organisations, to broaden our horizons and our experiences with curiosity, critical thinking and mindfulness. But above all, to create a space for encounters, connections, confidence and lots of good cheer!<\/p>\n<p>An article in this newsletter \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/socius.de\/en\/children-minority-without-protection\/\">Nicolas' review of the book <i>\u201eChildren \u2013 a minority without protection\u201c<\/i> <\/a>\u2013 inspired me, by the way, to ask my 19-year-old son what gives him hope and what he fears when he thinks about the future.<br \/>His greatest concern: <b>that AI could render his generation redundant.<\/b><b><br \/><\/b>His greatest hope: <b>that humanity recognises the value of cooperation \u2013 across borders and differences.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>We should listen to young people more often. And that is exactly what we want to do:<br \/>For the <b>oe-tag on 13 June<\/b> we award <b>10 Freetickets for young people<\/b>, who would like to participate in a dialogue-based exploration of the effects of German-German history in organisations.<\/p>\n<p>If such a young person is sitting next to you right now and nodding in agreement as they read this text over your shoulder, then please get in touch with us!<\/p>\n<p><b>Joana Ebbinghaus<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\">\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"et_pb_section_1 et_pb_section et_section_regular et_block_section\"><div class=\"et_pb_row_1 et_pb_row et_block_row\"><div class=\"et_pb_column_1 et_pb_column et_pb_column_1_2 et_block_column et_pb_css_mix_blend_mode_passthrough\"><div class=\"et_pb_module et_pb_button_module_wrapper et_pb_button_0_wrapper\"><a class=\"et_pb_button_0 et_pb_button et_pb_bg_layout_light et_pb_module et_block_module btn-blau\" href=\"https:\/\/www127037168.socius.de\/web\/17ersz1yar8lz1v265zzzzz14z8\">Read the whole letter<\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"et_pb_column_2 et_pb_column et_pb_column_1_2 et-last-child et_block_column et_pb_css_mix_blend_mode_passthrough\"><div class=\"et_pb_module et_pb_button_module_wrapper et_pb_button_1_wrapper\"><a class=\"et_pb_button_1 et_pb_button et_pb_bg_layout_light et_pb_module et_block_module btn-petrol\" href=\"\/en\/topic\/socius-letter\/\">Subscribe to SOCIUS brief<\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"et_pb_row_2 et_pb_row et_block_row\"><div class=\"et_pb_column_3 et_pb_column et_pb_column_4_4 et-last-child et_block_column et_pb_css_mix_blend_mode_passthrough\"><div class=\"et_pb_team_member_0 et_pb_team_member et_pb_bg_layout_light et_clickable et_pb_module et_flex_module\"><div class=\"et_pb_team_member_image et-waypoint et_pb_animation_off\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/socius.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/socius-joana-ebbinghaus.png\" alt=\"Author: Joana Ebbinghaus\" width=\"772\" height=\"788\" srcset=\"https:\/\/socius.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/socius-joana-ebbinghaus.png 772w, https:\/\/socius.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/socius-joana-ebbinghaus-480x490.png 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 772px, 100vw\" class=\"wp-image-247271\" \/><\/div><div class=\"et_pb_team_member_description\"><h4 class=\"et_pb_module_header\">Author: Joana Ebbinghaus<\/h4><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"et_pb_section_2 et_pb_section et_section_regular et_block_section\"><div class=\"et_pb_row_3 et_pb_row et_block_row\"><div class=\"et_pb_column_4 et_pb_column et_pb_column_1_3 et_block_column et_pb_css_mix_blend_mode_passthrough\"><div class=\"et_pb_image_0 et_pb_image et_pb_module et_block_module\"><span class=\"et_pb_image_wrap\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/socius.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/Socius_Logo-linksbuendig-e1663770875539-1.png\" width=\"289\" height=\"62\" srcset=\"https:\/\/socius.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/Socius_Logo-linksbuendig-e1663770875539-1.png 289w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 289px) 100vw, 289px\" class=\"wp-image-32690\" title=\"change essentials\" alt=\"change essentials\" \/><\/span><\/div><div class=\"et_pb_module et_pb_button_module_wrapper et_pb_button_2_wrapper\"><a class=\"et_pb_button_2 et_pb_button et_pb_bg_layout_light et_pb_module et_block_module btn-green\" href=\"https:\/\/socius.mymemberspot.de\/auth\/register?offerid=UPqDVTz5YHUDtbAoAHIL&#038;offername=SOCIUS%20change%20essentials%20\" target=\"_blank\">Register for free<\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"et_pb_column_5 et_pb_column et_pb_column_2_3 et-last-child et_block_column et_pb_css_mix_blend_mode_passthrough\"><div class=\"et_pb_text_1 et_pb_text et_pb_bg_layout_light et_pb_module et_block_module\"><div class=\"et_pb_text_inner\"><p>Discover practical tips for self-organised work in our free online course, the SOCIUS change essentials. With over 30 videos, the course offers helpful self-organisation tools such as consensus moderation and role board tutorials. Register and also receive the SOCIUS brief, our newsletter with exciting topics and events.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":29068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[415],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-251287","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-socius-brief"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>4\/25 Zukunftszuversicht - SOCIUS Organisationsberatung gGmbH<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Der SOCIUS brief ist unser Newsletter. 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